Updated Models & Spotlight Charts 8/17/2025

On Breakout Watch by the Other 453 Stocks

The S&P 500 advanced higher last week and is just a few points from a new all-time high. AAA Corporate Bond Spreads made a new low last week as the bond market continues to stay calm in the sea of interest rate headlines. Which include this week the upcoming Jackson Hole Fed meeting, which has historically brought major headlines and policy changes. We’ll see if this year delivers the same. The Maestro Model and Risk Appetite Model both increased this week. One Spotlight Chart in the note below looks at one corner of the market that’s yet to breakout and could be a major ‘tell’ for where the next leg goes, if we get a breakout that could help draw in more buyers to push equities higher or the divergence shows as a warning that the up trend is on borrowed time.

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Summary of Models

Index & Sector Performance Summary

Volatility Risk Trigger

VIX has pulled back and the VRT remains at 48.